Predicting success: what works
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Predicting success involves a complex set of factors that may involve intervention at different points in the life cycle. There are two levels of activity in which success can be predicted: preventing offending; and preventing re-offending. These involve two different population groups; a general group of young people right across the population spectrum, and a more narrow target, those who have already committed offences, and the odds of re-offending are high for a significant proportion of offenders.
Paper presented in workshops 3 & 4 at the conference "Youth justice 2000 - managing a new world in transit", Singapore, 13-15 September 2000, by Adam Graycar, Director, Australian Institute of Criminology. This speech is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/